Thread: breeders cup
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Old 10-27-2007, 05:10 AM   #4 (permalink)
dukeguy
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Michael Nunamaker

Monmouth Saturday October 27, 2007

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Race #1

Proficiency: Samples=7664 W%=35.4 Net=1.82 Net4+=2.52

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
7 BWANA BULL 2-1 79 79 0.00
6 HELSINKI 5-1 72 78 1.54
5 NOW A VICTOR 5-1 82 91 1.77
4 STUNT MAN 7-1 78 87 2.12
3 SLEW'S TIZZY 10-1 80 78 2.95
2 GET SERIOUS 21-1 75 85 4.31
1 ACTIN GOOD 35-1 74 77 5.12
Commentary

BWANA BULL Slight speed advantage. Modest back speed advantage. Bid but hung in last. Huge class drop should help. HELSINKI Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. NOW A VICTOR Modest pace advantage. Huge class raise will be hard. STUNT MAN Highest earnings per start at today's distance. SLEW'S TIZZY The recent 5F workout looks great. Huge class drop should help.
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Race #2

Proficiency: Samples=8797 W%=35.2 Net=1.88 Net4+=2.51

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
6 SINDY WITH AN S 8-5 86 90 0.00
11 COCO BELLE 4-1 88 97 1.92
7 SHEETS 5-1 81 91 2.37
1 SILVER KNOCKERS 17-1 78 86 4.48
8 MARINA BALLERINA 17-1 83 94 4.52
3 LAURAS LAST MUSIC 21-1 77 96 4.81
12 INTENTIONAL FEVER 29-1 77 89 5.37
10 ASTOR PARK 38-1 77 88 5.67
5 CONTROL SYSTEM 66-1 79 88 6.44
9 JUMP ON IN 100-1 70 83 6.98
4 CASINO TRANSACTION 312-1 77 92 8.59
2 MISS TIZZY 435-1 79 89 8.65
Commentary

SINDY WITH AN S Modest speed advantage. Three consecutive good finishes. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. COCO BELLE Modest pace advantage. Workouts that are five furlongs or longer bode well and this horse has it. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. SHEETS Bid but hung in last. Two consecutive decreases in speed rating. SILVER KNOCKERS Speed improved in last outing. MARINA BALLERINA Three consecutive good finishes. Looks to have an early speed advantage. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #3

Proficiency: Samples=8797 W%=35.2 Net=1.88 Net4+=2.51

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
7 PIRATESONTHELAKE 3-1 78 89 0.00
6 DOUBLE ACTION 4-1 82 94 0.39
10 E Z WARRIOR 9-2 83 89 0.78
4 MOST DISTINGUISHED 7-1 78 88 1.60
3 COBALT BLUE 10-1 82 79 2.09
2 BUFFALO MAN 20-1 68 84 3.44
9 SILVER SOURCE 21-1 75 88 3.53
1 APPEALING SPRING 37-1 72 88 4.32
5 UNBRIDLED TRUST 64-1 80 95 5.12
8 PAUILLAC 657-1 75 86 8.21
Commentary

PIRATESONTHELAKE Modest speed advantage. The long workout makes me feel good about this one. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. DOUBLE ACTION Modest back speed advantage. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. E Z WARRIOR Slight pace advantage. The recent 5F workout looks great. Huge class drop should help. MOST DISTINGUISHED Two consecutive decreases in speed rating. COBALT BLUE Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #4

Proficiency: Samples=612 W%=39.0 Net=2.24 Net4+=2.80

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
4 INDIAN BLESSING 8-5 80 93 0.00
13 CRY AND CATCH ME 4-1 78 90 2.15
3 TASHA'S MIRACLE 9-1 80 90 3.79
1 PHANTOM INCOME 10-1 79 91 3.90
9 SMARTY DEB 16-1 75 84 4.89
8 IZARRA 22-1 77 86 5.38
5 IRISH SMOKE 43-1 75 79 6.37
14 A TO THE CROFT 44-1 74 79 6.38
10 PROUD SPELL 84-1 77 87 7.21
7 BACKSEAT RHYTHM 92-1 76 84 7.26
6 SET PLAY 92-1 80 89 7.29
2 CLEARLY FOXY 100-1 73 85 7.43
12 GRACE ANATOMY 126-1 72 75 7.71
11 ZEE ZEE 475-1 73 76 9.44
Commentary

INDIAN BLESSING The recent 5F workout looks great. Huge class raise will be hard. CRY AND CATCH ME The recent 5F workout looks great. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Looks to have an early speed advantage. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. TASHA'S MIRACLE The long workout makes me feel good about this one. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. PHANTOM INCOME Huge class raise will be hard. SMARTY DEB Very impressive workouts. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #5

Proficiency: Samples=612 W%=39.0 Net=2.24 Net4+=2.80

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
13 WICKED STYLE 7-5 77 80 0.00
11 DIXIE CHATTER 3-1 77 86 2.10
2 WAR PASS 9-2 80 91 3.34
4 SLEW'S TIZNOW 57-1 75 79 7.88
10 TALE OF EKATI 58-1 78 85 7.98
3 KODIAK KOWBOY 88-1 78 80 8.36
1 Z HUMOR 86-1 78 89 8.46
7 PYRO 91-1 74 83 8.54
5 SHORE DO 125-1 74 81 9.04
6 OVEREXTENDED 199-1 77 78 9.68
12 SALUTE THE SARGE 459-1 77 86 10.51
8 GLOBALIZATION 440-1 77 89 11.01
9 OLD MAN BUCK 999-1 69 69 13.95
Commentary

WICKED STYLE I like the workouts. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. DIXIE CHATTER The recent 5F workout looks great. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. WAR PASS Modest pace advantage. Slight back speed advantage. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. SLEW'S TIZNOW The recent 5F workout looks great. Huge class raise will be hard. TALE OF EKATI Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #6

Proficiency: Samples=3717 W%=30.6 Net=1.97 Net4+=2.49

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
3 NASHOBA'S KEY 5-2 80 68 0.00
5 WAIT A WHILE 4-1 79 83 1.29
2 HONEY RYDER 6-1 81 93 1.87
7 ARGENTINA (IRE) 11-1 84 0 3.23
4 PASSAGE OF TIME (GB) 12-1 44 0 3.28
6 LAHUDOOD (GB) 17-1 82 0 3.94
12 PRECIOUS KITTEN 30-1 86 88 4.70
9 DANZON 31-1 79 80 4.77
1 ALL MY LOVING (IRE) 40-1 44 0 5.05
8 TIMARWA (IRE) 126-1 44 0 6.52
10 ARRAVALE 140-1 79 84 6.62
11 SIMPLY PERFECT (GB) 140-1 44 0 6.67
Commentary

NASHOBA'S KEY A well worked out horse. Many many wins. A great sign. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. WAIT A WHILE Long recent workout is a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. HONEY RYDER Back speed advantage. The long workout makes me feel good about this one. Huge class raise will be hard. ARGENTINA (IRE) Very impressive workouts. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. PASSAGE OF TIME (GB) No works or races within three weeks could be trouble. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #7

Proficiency: Samples=8797 W%=35.2 Net=1.88 Net4+=2.51

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
2 MIDNIGHT LUTE 5-2 81 89 0.00
10 GREG'S GOLD 9-2 84 94 1.13
7 IDIOT PROOF 7-1 86 96 2.05
1 SMOKEY STOVER 8-1 82 94 2.24
8 BENNY THE BULL 8-1 74 86 2.28
3 ATTILA'S STORM 30-1 85 91 4.52
9 BORDONARO 30-1 86 94 4.53
4 TALENT SEARCH 31-1 90 94 4.57
6 COMMENTATOR 40-1 83 93 4.96
11 FOREFATHERS 158-1 76 96 6.58
5 KELLY'S LANDING 470-1 82 93 7.81
Commentary

MIDNIGHT LUTE Big speed advantage. The recent 5F workout looks great. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. GREG'S GOLD Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive decreases in speed rating. IDIOT PROOF Long workout is almost as good as an extra race. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. SMOKEY STOVER Long workout is almost as good as an extra race. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. BENNY THE BULL The recent 5F workout looks great. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #8

Proficiency: Samples=3717 W%=30.6 Net=1.97 Net4+=2.49

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
3 AFTER MARKET 5-2 85 92 0.00
8 KIP DEVILLE 6-1 81 92 1.99
6 TRIPPI'S STORM 8-1 84 92 2.54
7 COSMONAUT 10-1 87 90 2.84
9 NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ 10-1 75 86 2.97
5 JEREMY 17-1 48 0 3.81
13 EXCELLENT ART (GB) 18-1 44 0 3.98
12 PURIM 21-1 87 86 4.15
14 REMARKABLE NEWS (VEN) 29-1 83 90 4.59
2 ICY ATLANTIC 40-1 79 88 5.02
4 HOST (CHI) 75-1 73 81 5.82
10 MY TYPHOON (IRE) 118-1 81 84 6.36
11 SILENT NAME (JPN) 129-1 86 93 6.50
1 REBELLION (GB) 999-1 82 92 9.09
Commentary

AFTER MARKET Speed advantage. You couldn't ask for much more from the workouts. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive decreases in speed rating. KIP DEVILLE Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Bid but hung in last. TRIPPI'S STORM Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. COSMONAUT The recent 5F workout looks great. Bid but hung in last. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #9

Proficiency: Samples=7664 W%=35.4 Net=1.82 Net4+=2.52

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
4 GINGER PUNCH 7-2 78 90 0.00
5 LADY JOANNE 7-1 81 89 1.07
12 HYSTERICALADY 7-1 81 85 1.12
11 UNBRIDLED BELLE 10-1 80 83 1.95
10 INDIAN VALE 10-1 83 84 2.06
7 LEAR'S PRINCESS 11-1 77 78 2.29
6 BEAR NOW 13-1 80 88 2.49
8 OCTAVE 16-1 79 88 2.81
3 TOUGH TIZ'S SIS 16-1 81 84 2.82
9 TEAMMATE 43-1 78 89 4.29
1 BALANCE 71-1 79 68 4.89
2 PROP ME UP 260-1 78 79 6.41
Commentary

GINGER PUNCH Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive improvements in speed rating. LADY JOANNE Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. Two consecutive decreases in speed rating. HYSTERICALADY Modest speed advantage. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. UNBRIDLED BELLE Long workout is almost as good as an extra race. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. INDIAN VALE Modest pace advantage. Modest back speed advantage. Workouts that are five furlongs or longer bode well and this horse has it. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #10

Proficiency: Samples=3717 W%=30.6 Net=1.97 Net4+=2.49

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
3 BETTER TALK NOW 5-2 83 0 0.00
6 ENGLISH CHANNEL 5-2 84 0 0.10
7 DYLAN THOMAS (IRE) 7-1 44 0 2.01
2 RED ROCKS (IRE) 9-1 44 0 2.49
5 GRAND COUTURIER (GB) 10-1 83 86 2.96
4 SHAMDINAN (FR) 16-1 80 0 3.57
8 TRANSDUCTION GOLD 63-1 77 73 5.55
1 FRI GUY 188-1 85 77 7.04
Commentary

BETTER TALK NOW Speed advantage. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. ENGLISH CHANNEL Back speed advantage. Workouts that are five furlongs or longer bode well and this horse has it. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. DYLAN THOMAS (IRE) Three consecutive good finishes. RED ROCKS (IRE) No works or races within three weeks could be trouble. Huge class raise will be hard. GRAND COUTURIER (GB) Very impressive workouts. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Race #11

Proficiency: Samples=7664 W%=35.4 Net=1.82 Net4+=2.52

PN Horse Name Odds Pace Speed BLs
1 LAWYER RON 3-1 84 89 0.00
4 CURLIN 3-1 84 80 0.18
3 ANY GIVEN SATURDAY 7-1 80 87 1.84
2 STREET SENSE 7-1 79 78 1.89
8 HARD SPUN 15-1 83 95 3.32
6 AWESOME GEM 15-1 81 74 3.35
7 DIAMOND STRIPES 19-1 84 85 3.61
9 TIAGO 30-1 84 86 4.29
5 GEORGE WASHINGTON (IRE) 121-1 44 0 6.13
Commentary

LAWYER RON Modest speed advantage. Modest back speed advantage. A well worked out horse. Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. CURLIN Taxing stretch drive in last, a good sign. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. ANY GIVEN SATURDAY I like the workouts. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. STREET SENSE You couldn't ask for much more from the workouts. Three consecutive good finishes. Huge class raise will be hard. HARD SPUN Very impressive workouts. Three consecutive good finishes. Looks to have an early speed advantage. Huge class raise will be hard.
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Best Bet of the day

Race 4 INDIAN BLESSING
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Proficiency
This is a short report on how well my selections perform on this type of race. Items reported are as follows.

Samples: The number of races of this specific type that have been rated using my methods.
W%: The percentage of races where my top selection won the race.
Net: The return on $2.00 wagers on all top selections of this race type. For comparison, the NET on random horses is $1.54 and the NET on favorites is $1.64.
Net4+: The return on $2.00 wagers on all top selections going off at odds of 4-1 or higher.
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