Thread: breeders cup
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Old 10-27-2007, 05:10 AM   #5 (permalink)
dukeguy
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The Walker Group

Leading the way towards the winner's circle at
Monmouth on Saturday, October 27, 2007



Race 1 - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $250000 Class Rating: 111

PEGASUS S. - GRADE 3 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 EACH, WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. $2,500 TO ENTER. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY ON TUESDAY, OCTOBER 23 FOR A FEE OF $10,000 EACH. THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $150,000; $50,000 TO SECOND; $27,500 TO THIRD; $15,000 TO FOURTH; $7,500 TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 7 BWANA BULL 2/1


# 3 SLEW'S TIZZY 9/2


# 6 HELSINKI 7/2

I think BWANA BULL is a competitive choice. He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the best in this field. Hollendorfer has a strong win percent with horses running in dirt route races. This equine is at the top in this field in earnings per start at the distance/surface. SLEW'S TIZZY - The average class figure alone makes this entrant a solid choice. Handler boasts very solid win figs at this distance and surface. HELSINKI - Must be carefully examined in this race if only for the strong speed rating put up in the last competition. Is a solid contender based on figures put up recently under today's conditions.
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Race 2 - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 106

MISS WOODFORD S. - FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 EACH, WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. $2,500 TO ENTER. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY ON TUESDAY, OCTOBER 23 FOR A FEE OF $7,500 EACH. THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $120,000; $40,000 TO SECOND; $22,000 TO THIRD; $12,000 TO FOURTH; $6,000 TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 11 COCO BELLE 6/1


# 8 MARINA BALLERINA 15/1


# 9 JUMP ON IN 5/1

COCO BELLE should be supported as the bet in here. Has been consistently racing well recently. Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying very good numbers recently and an average speed fig of 101 under similar conditions. Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been formidable - 98 avg - of late. MARINA BALLERINA - Have to suppose this horse will run well again today. Solid dividends have been scored by wagerers using this jockey and trainer tandem lately. JUMP ON IN - This pony has some longshot angles going for her. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most favorable class figures of this group.
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Race 3 - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 111

SELECT S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 EACH, WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION AND $2,500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY ON TUESDAY, OCTOBER 23 FOR A FEE OF $7,500 EACH. THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $120,000, $40,000 TO SECOND, $22,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO FOURTH, $6,000 TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 10 E Z WARRIOR 4/1


# 3 COBALT BLUE 6/1


# 7 PIRATESONTHELAKE 3/1

I've got to go with E Z WARRIOR. Could provide positive returns based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 102. Espinoza's ROI over the last month automatically makes this pony a sharp contender. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the strongest class numbers of this group. COBALT BLUE - Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is formidable for this pony. The twosome of Gomez/Oneill has one of the best return on investment percentages in this group. PIRATESONTHELAKE - Have to think this racer will make a good impression again today. Has performed solidly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 99 avg Equibase Speed Figure.
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Race 4 - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 102

BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE FILLIES - GRADE 1 FOR FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. $20,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS OF WHICH 54% OF ALL MONIES TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5.1% TO FOURTH AND 2.5% TO FIFTH; PLUS STALLION NOMINATOR AWARDS OF 2.7% OF ALL




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 3 TASHA'S MIRACLE 10/1


# 9 SMARTY DEB 30/1


# 6 SET PLAY 20/1

TASHA'S MIRACLE looks to be a solid contender and is a competitive value bet given the line. This filly looks like a longshot with a chance. Her 93 average has this filly with among the strongest speed figures for this event. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Sadler running at this distance are the most competitive in this group. SMARTY DEB - This entrant has been consistently running well recently. Harwood has one of the top winning percentages in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. SET PLAY - Has been moving in the most competitive company of the group lately. This filly has some longshot handicapping angles I like to bet on.
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Race 5 - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 108

BESSEMER TRUST BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE - GRADE 1 FOR COLTS AND GELDINGS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT: 122 LBS.; $20,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS OF WHICH 54% OF ALL MONIES TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5.1% TO FOURTH AND 2.5% TO FIFTH; PLUS STALLION




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 7 PYRO 6/1


# 11 DIXIE CHATTER 10/1


# 1 Z HUMOR 12/1

PYRO looks competitive to best this field. Ran a strong last race. Has been racing strongly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Don't overlook this colt in your wagers - very dangerous with Bridgmohan aboard. DIXIE CHATTER - He has earned competitive figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group. Looks to have a competitive class edge based on the recent company kept. Z HUMOR - Risk takers have been noting speed boosts from horses changing equipment (blinkers on today). This colt has some longshot handicapping angles I like to bet on.
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Race 6 - Stakes - 11.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 119

EMIRATES AIRLINE BREEDERS' CUP FILLY AND MARE TURF - GRADE 1 FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 113 LBS. OLDER, 122 LBS. $20,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 2 HONEY RYDER 9/2


# 12 PRECIOUS KITTEN 30/1


# 3 NASHOBA'S KEY 3/1

I think HONEY RYDER is a strong choice. Her 114 average has this mare with among the most favorable Equibase Speed Figures for this race. Has a strong shot in here if you like back class. Has garnered reliable speed figures in turf route races in the past. PRECIOUS KITTEN - Bejarano has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 25 percent clip. Keep this filly in your exotics as Bejarano has given backers some double digit gains. NASHOBA'S KEY - Have to wager on this money-making rider and trainer tandem. Earned a respectable Equibase speed fig last time out.
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Race 7 - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 125

TVG BREEDERS' CUP SPRINT - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. ALL FILLIES AND MARES ALLOWED 3 LBS. $20,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS OF WHICH




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 10 GREG'S GOLD 9/2


# 9 BORDONARO 15/1


# 6 COMMENTATOR 12/1

My selection in here is GREG'S GOLD. Always seems to be right there at the finish line. Looks strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. BORDONARO - Has some encouraging handicapping angles which make this entrant a bet. Seems to have a quite good class edge based on the most recent company kept. COMMENTATOR - In this field, this horse is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint events.
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Race 8 - Stakes - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 118

NETJETS BREEDERS' CUP MILE - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. ALL FILLIES AND MARES ALLOWED 3 LBS. $20,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS OF WHICH




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 3 AFTER MARKET 7/2


# 14 REMARKABLE NEWS (VEN) 12/1


# 7 COSMONAUT 15/1

AFTER MARKET has a solid shot to take this race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this colt. This colt has been consistently running well in his latest outings. REMARKABLE NEWS (VEN) - Dominguez has a win percent of 24 over the last 30 days. Has been close on the wire most every time lately. COSMONAUT - He has recorded decent numbers under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this group of animals. Ran a solid last race.
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Race 9 - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 113

EMIRATES AIRLINE BREEDERS' CUP DISTAFF - GRADE 1 FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 114 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. $20,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS OF WHICH




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 12 HYSTERICALADY 8/1


# 10 INDIAN VALE 3/1


# 5 LADY JOANNE 6/1

HYSTERICALADY is my selection and is a formidable value-based wager given the 8/1 line. Hollendorfer has this filly moving well and is a quite good selection based on the competitive speed figures earned in route races as of late. She looks solid in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. May best this group here, showing competitive numbers of late. INDIAN VALE - Garnered a decent speed fig last time out. LADY JOANNE - Conditioner boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface. Nafzger has well above average profits at this distance/surface.
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Race 10 - Stakes - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $3000000 Class Rating: 118

JOHN DEERE BREEDERS' CUP TURF - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. ALL FILLIES AND MARES ALLOWED 3 LBS. $30,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $45,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $3 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS OF WHICH




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 2 RED ROCKS (IRE) 7/2


# 3 BETTER TALK NOW 9/2


# 6 ENGLISH CHANNEL 5/2

RED ROCKS (IRE) is my choice. Should best this group of horses here, showing decent figs of late. Looks competitive to be on or close to the lead at the first call. Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. BETTER TALK NOW - Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races make this equine a solid choice. This trainer has done soundly recently with entries racing at this distance and surface. ENGLISH CHANNEL - Put up a sound speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. I can't pass on this horse given one of the best jock and handler combos on the grounds.
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Race 11 - Stakes - 10.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5000000 Class Rating: 120

BREEDERS' CUP CLASSIC POWERED BY DODGE - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NORTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. ALL FILLIES AND MARES ALLOWED 3 LBS. $50,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $75,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $5 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING NOMINATOR AWARDS




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



# 2 STREET SENSE 3/1


# 5 GEORGE WASHINGTON (IRE) 20/1


# 6 AWESOME GEM 30/1

I've got to go with STREET SENSE. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very good win percentage - 43 percent - at this distance & surface. Must be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. This horse has been constatntly racing well recently. GEORGE WASHINGTON (IRE) - He has been racing admirably recently while recording solid speed figures. This colt could improve with first time Lasix. AWESOME GEM - Has to be carefully examined versus this field displaying very strong figures as of late and an average speed figure of 116 under similar conditions. Sharp profits have been scored by bettors using this rider and conditioner tandem lately.
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