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savage1 · 05-21-2008, 11:08 AM

SNOTzer:

Scott Spreitzer's NBA TKO GAME OF THE WEEK! *6-1, 86% Winners!
I'm laying the points in game one with the Lakers. Two major issues led to San Antone's game-seven win over New Orleans. First of all, Hornets coach Byron Scott was completely out-classed. Going to a soft-double team after dominating the Spurs each time they took it to Duncan earlier in the series was a huge mistake. The other issue was the outside shooting of Finley and Horry. The two veterans were on top of their game and the Hornets were a mess defensively...enough said. Thankfully, we cashed with the Spurs. But in this one, the Spurs will obviously NOT have a huge coaching advantage. If Popovich changes his defensive rotations every three or four minutes like he did in game-seven against New Orleans, Phil Jackson and Kobe Bryant will adjust accordingly. The Lakers are also the well-rested team in this one. While the fact that the Spurs spent the night on a New Orleans' tarmac after clinching the series is a little over-blown, they have been an average squad when playing with just one day off between games. Meanwhile, the Lakers ARE a perfect 6-2, 75% ATS when they're playing with three or more days rest. And, as far as the matchups are concerned, I expect Gasol to give Duncan fits, while defensive specialist Bruce Bowen has not had much of an impact when guarding Kobe Bryant. In fact, in their last three postseason series (Lakers won two) Bryan has averaged 26, 32, and 26 points against Bowen and San Antone. I believe game one will go to the Lakers. Los Angeles is my Wednesday night TKO. Thanks! GL! Scott.

More-
I'm laying the price with the Rockies on Wednesday. Lefty Jonathan Sanchez has had some serious ups and downs this season. But pitching away from home has been an absolute nightmare. In three road starts this season, Sanchez has been smacked for 14 earned runs and 24 base runners in just 13 1/3 IP. That's a horrible 9.47 ERA & 1.80 WHIP. In two of his three starts, SFO's opponents scored 12 and 13 runs. And, he's reached five full innings (exactly 5) in just one of those outings. Sanchez has been ripped in four relief appearances (no starts) in this park, and he owns a 5.68 ERA in four daytime starts this season. He'll face a Rockies' lineup that's 3-1 in four home starts against southpaws, plating 6.0 runs per game in the process. And, while Ubaldo Jimenez owns weak overall numbers, he's actually pitched well of late. In his last four starts, Jimenez owns a decent, 4.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. I expect another strong outing against a Giants' club that's scoring just 3.0 runs per game in away day action against righthanders. I'm laying the price with the Rockies on Wednesday afternoon. Thanks! GL! Scott.

05-21-2008, 11:08 AM	#1902 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 6,830	SNOTzer: Scott Spreitzer's NBA TKO GAME OF THE WEEK! *6-1, 86% Winners! I'm laying the points in game one with the Lakers. Two major issues led to San Antone's game-seven win over New Orleans. First of all, Hornets coach Byron Scott was completely out-classed. Going to a soft-double team after dominating the Spurs each time they took it to Duncan earlier in the series was a huge mistake. The other issue was the outside shooting of Finley and Horry. The two veterans were on top of their game and the Hornets were a mess defensively...enough said. Thankfully, we cashed with the Spurs. But in this one, the Spurs will obviously NOT have a huge coaching advantage. If Popovich changes his defensive rotations every three or four minutes like he did in game-seven against New Orleans, Phil Jackson and Kobe Bryant will adjust accordingly. The Lakers are also the well-rested team in this one. While the fact that the Spurs spent the night on a New Orleans' tarmac after clinching the series is a little over-blown, they have been an average squad when playing with just one day off between games. Meanwhile, the Lakers ARE a perfect 6-2, 75% ATS when they're playing with three or more days rest. And, as far as the matchups are concerned, I expect Gasol to give Duncan fits, while defensive specialist Bruce Bowen has not had much of an impact when guarding Kobe Bryant. In fact, in their last three postseason series (Lakers won two) Bryan has averaged 26, 32, and 26 points against Bowen and San Antone. I believe game one will go to the Lakers. Los Angeles is my Wednesday night TKO. Thanks! GL! Scott. More- I'm laying the price with the Rockies on Wednesday. Lefty Jonathan Sanchez has had some serious ups and downs this season. But pitching away from home has been an absolute nightmare. In three road starts this season, Sanchez has been smacked for 14 earned runs and 24 base runners in just 13 1/3 IP. That's a horrible 9.47 ERA & 1.80 WHIP. In two of his three starts, SFO's opponents scored 12 and 13 runs. And, he's reached five full innings (exactly 5) in just one of those outings. Sanchez has been ripped in four relief appearances (no starts) in this park, and he owns a 5.68 ERA in four daytime starts this season. He'll face a Rockies' lineup that's 3-1 in four home starts against southpaws, plating 6.0 runs per game in the process. And, while Ubaldo Jimenez owns weak overall numbers, he's actually pitched well of late. In his last four starts, Jimenez owns a decent, 4.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. I expect another strong outing against a Giants' club that's scoring just 3.0 runs per game in away day action against righthanders. I'm laying the price with the Rockies on Wednesday afternoon. Thanks! GL! Scott.