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savage1 · 07-08-2008, 05:03 PM

For All the SNOTzer eaters/lovers out there:

Scott Spreitzer's MLB DOUBLE-DOG **DOUBLE-SHOT!** (11-5, 69%)
I'm taking the price with the underdog Nationals on Tuesday. Yes, I'm playing AGAINST all-star hurler, Brandon Webb...and for good reason. We're getting a big home price with a pitcher/team that has enjoyed plenty of success in tonight's spot. Not only does Odalis Perez own a strong, 3.78 ERA in 15 appearances this season, but in home night tilts, he's been simply sensational, sporting a 2.27 ERA. In fact, he's led Washington to a 5-2 mark in tonight's spot. Perez owns a career, 3.45 ERA & 1.17 WHIP in 20 appearances (18 starts) against the D'backs, and I expect more success tonight. Arizona has played 19 road games since June 1. They have scored a grand total of 58 runs in those games, or 3.05 runs per game. The "Snakes" are 5-11 in their last 16 games overall, scoring just 49 runs in the process...or just 3.06 runs per game! You get the picture. After a sensational start to the season, Arizona has hit the skids. They'll send Brandon Webb to the bump tonight, and he's not "delivering the goods" the way they need him to, with the offense struggling so badly. Webb has been popped for 18 earned runs and 42 base runners (including 31 hits) in his last four starts, covering 22 1/3 IP! That adds up to an un-Webb-like, 7.26 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. With numbers like those, along with Arizona's poor numbers at the plate, and Odalis Perez' strong numbers in this spot, there's no way the D'backs should be laying this high of a price away from home. I'm taking advantage with a play on the Nationals on Tuesday.

I'm taking the big underdog Mariners on Tuesday night. While Carlos Silva hasn't had a lot to brag about this season, he has fared well in road night action. The M's have cashed three of his five tickets and he owns a decent, 4.22 ERA. Something that has held to his career-form this summer has been his dominance of Oakland. Silva dismantled the A's in his only start against them this season, leading the M's to an 8-1 win. The Seattle righty owns a stellar, 2.92 ERA & 0.97 WHIP in 10 lifetime appearances against the A's. His ERA at McAfee is an even lower 2.33 in four starts. And, although he doesn't need the help against this squad, the A's are truly struggling at the plate. Oakland has scored 4, 1, 0, 4, 5, 0, & 5 runs in their last seven home games, for an average of just 2.71 runs per game. They're plating just 3.57 runs per game in seven July outings, overall. Seattle is actually averaging five runs per game in tonight's spot, almost 1 1/2 runs more per game than Oakland's seasonal mark in home night games against righthanders. In fact, the heavily favored A's are just 8-14 in tonight's situation, scoring just 3.6 runs per game. Seattle is a decent 9-5 over their last 14 games and grab the big underdog win tonight. My TKO Shocker is a play on the Mariners on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.

Scott Spreitzer's LINE ERROR MAJOR MISMATCH GOW! *11-5, 69%!
Look out NL East! The NY Mets are getting their act together and that spells trouble for the rest of the division. Whether Willie Randolph was to blame or not, the soap-opera-like atmosphere surrounding his eventual firing was a serious distraction since opening day. New York is now all about the business of winning baseball games. They've won three straight, and they're 5-2 in July, overall. The bats have come to life, scoring 50 runs, or 7.14 runs per game this month. This is all great news for starter Mike Pelfrey. The 24-year old righty owns great home numbers, but due to a serious lack of support, they have not translated into a lot of wins. In fact, in his last four home starts, Pelfrey has allowed just eight earned runs and 30 base runners in 26 2/3 IP, for a 2.69 ERA & 1.12 WHIP. But the Mets scored a grand total of just 11 runs in those starts. Including his last home start (June 11) and four outings away from Shea, the Mets have won five straight Pelfrey starts. They have won six of his last seven altogether, led by his 3.02 ERA, allowing just 15 earned runs in his last 44 2/3 innings of work. The reason his numbers are now translating into wins? Well, a perfect example...the Mets have scored 43 runs in his last five starts! I believe this will be a very tough spot for Tim Lincecum, especially with his lineup scoring less than four runs per game in road night starts against righthanders. Look for New York to continue their run with a big win on Tuesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott.

07-08-2008, 05:03 PM	#2005 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 6,211	For All the SNOTzer eaters/lovers out there: Scott Spreitzer's MLB DOUBLE-DOG DOUBLE-SHOT! (11-5, 69%) I'm taking the price with the underdog Nationals on Tuesday. Yes, I'm playing AGAINST all-star hurler, Brandon Webb...and for good reason. We're getting a big home price with a pitcher/team that has enjoyed plenty of success in tonight's spot. Not only does Odalis Perez own a strong, 3.78 ERA in 15 appearances this season, but in home night tilts, he's been simply sensational, sporting a 2.27 ERA. In fact, he's led Washington to a 5-2 mark in tonight's spot. Perez owns a career, 3.45 ERA & 1.17 WHIP in 20 appearances (18 starts) against the D'backs, and I expect more success tonight. Arizona has played 19 road games since June 1. They have scored a grand total of 58 runs in those games, or 3.05 runs per game. The "Snakes" are 5-11 in their last 16 games overall, scoring just 49 runs in the process...or just 3.06 runs per game! You get the picture. After a sensational start to the season, Arizona has hit the skids. They'll send Brandon Webb to the bump tonight, and he's not "delivering the goods" the way they need him to, with the offense struggling so badly. Webb has been popped for 18 earned runs and 42 base runners (including 31 hits) in his last four starts, covering 22 1/3 IP! That adds up to an un-Webb-like, 7.26 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. With numbers like those, along with Arizona's poor numbers at the plate, and Odalis Perez' strong numbers in this spot, there's no way the D'backs should be laying this high of a price away from home. I'm taking advantage with a play on the Nationals on Tuesday. I'm taking the big underdog Mariners on Tuesday night. While Carlos Silva hasn't had a lot to brag about this season, he has fared well in road night action. The M's have cashed three of his five tickets and he owns a decent, 4.22 ERA. Something that has held to his career-form this summer has been his dominance of Oakland. Silva dismantled the A's in his only start against them this season, leading the M's to an 8-1 win. The Seattle righty owns a stellar, 2.92 ERA & 0.97 WHIP in 10 lifetime appearances against the A's. His ERA at McAfee is an even lower 2.33 in four starts. And, although he doesn't need the help against this squad, the A's are truly struggling at the plate. Oakland has scored 4, 1, 0, 4, 5, 0, & 5 runs in their last seven home games, for an average of just 2.71 runs per game. They're plating just 3.57 runs per game in seven July outings, overall. Seattle is actually averaging five runs per game in tonight's spot, almost 1 1/2 runs more per game than Oakland's seasonal mark in home night games against righthanders. In fact, the heavily favored A's are just 8-14 in tonight's situation, scoring just 3.6 runs per game. Seattle is a decent 9-5 over their last 14 games and grab the big underdog win tonight. My TKO Shocker is a play on the Mariners on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott. Scott Spreitzer's LINE ERROR MAJOR MISMATCH GOW! *11-5, 69%! Look out NL East! The NY Mets are getting their act together and that spells trouble for the rest of the division. Whether Willie Randolph was to blame or not, the soap-opera-like atmosphere surrounding his eventual firing was a serious distraction since opening day. New York is now all about the business of winning baseball games. They've won three straight, and they're 5-2 in July, overall. The bats have come to life, scoring 50 runs, or 7.14 runs per game this month. This is all great news for starter Mike Pelfrey. The 24-year old righty owns great home numbers, but due to a serious lack of support, they have not translated into a lot of wins. In fact, in his last four home starts, Pelfrey has allowed just eight earned runs and 30 base runners in 26 2/3 IP, for a 2.69 ERA & 1.12 WHIP. But the Mets scored a grand total of just 11 runs in those starts. Including his last home start (June 11) and four outings away from Shea, the Mets have won five straight Pelfrey starts. They have won six of his last seven altogether, led by his 3.02 ERA, allowing just 15 earned runs in his last 44 2/3 innings of work. The reason his numbers are now translating into wins? Well, a perfect example...the Mets have scored 43 runs in his last five starts! I believe this will be a very tough spot for Tim Lincecum, especially with his lineup scoring less than four runs per game in road night starts against righthanders. Look for New York to continue their run with a big win on Tuesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott.