Sports handicapping Forum - Sports Betting Forum - View Single Post

savage1 · 07-31-2008, 07:48 PM

More SNOTzer:

Scott Spreitzer's CFL Thursday Night SMACKDOWN! *14-1, 93% Run!

I'm laying the short number with the visitor in this one. The Lions "blew" a shot at last year's Grey Cup Championship, and were thought to be the best, or at least second best team in the league heading into this season. The Lions were sluggish out of the gate, though, but enter this contest on a three-game win streak. The motivation for this one is that they're tied for second in the West, (3-2), with two of the other three teams in the conference, one being Edmonton. The problem is, they're 0-2 in divisioal play, while Calgary and Edmonton each have one win. And, with Saskatchewan sitting on top with a two-game lead at 5-0, it's not quite, but nearly "must-win" time for the Lions. Slipping to 0-3 within the conference would put them in a serious uphill battle. As QB Jarious Jackson said on Wednesday, "We definitely need a win against a Western team." Jackson's favorite target, Geroy Simon is listed as questionable for this one, but the Lions are loaded on offense and will face an Eskimo defense that has allowed 141 points in five games, or 28.2 points per contest. In fact, four of their five opponents have scored at least 28 points. BC comes in having averaged 35 points per game during their current three-game win streak. By the way, Geory Simon has played in 96 straight games...I would be surprised if he sits this important battle out due to a hamstring pull. I also don't like the matchups for Edmonton's offense in this one. Ricky Ray is a good quarterback, but he hasn't faced a ball-hawking defense like this BC unit all season. The Lions are tops in the league with a dozen interceptions in just five games. While Barron Miles (4 INTs) may be the best free safety in the CFL, it all starts with the relentless pressure the defensive front puts on opposing QBs. The Lions defensive line has recorded 15 sacks, or three per game so far this season...not to mention countless hurries. Finally, injuries have really taken a toll on the Esks over the last few weeks, including DE Fred Perry (9-game DL) who will be sorely missed against this talented BC offense. I believe BC will win this one by double-digits, giving us plenty of value with the short number. The BC Lions are my Thursday night CFL release. Thanks! GL! Scott.
C.M.C.S.M.D.

07-31-2008, 07:48 PM	#2056 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 6,826	More SNOTzer: Scott Spreitzer's CFL Thursday Night SMACKDOWN! *14-1, 93% Run! I'm laying the short number with the visitor in this one. The Lions "blew" a shot at last year's Grey Cup Championship, and were thought to be the best, or at least second best team in the league heading into this season. The Lions were sluggish out of the gate, though, but enter this contest on a three-game win streak. The motivation for this one is that they're tied for second in the West, (3-2), with two of the other three teams in the conference, one being Edmonton. The problem is, they're 0-2 in divisioal play, while Calgary and Edmonton each have one win. And, with Saskatchewan sitting on top with a two-game lead at 5-0, it's not quite, but nearly "must-win" time for the Lions. Slipping to 0-3 within the conference would put them in a serious uphill battle. As QB Jarious Jackson said on Wednesday, "We definitely need a win against a Western team." Jackson's favorite target, Geroy Simon is listed as questionable for this one, but the Lions are loaded on offense and will face an Eskimo defense that has allowed 141 points in five games, or 28.2 points per contest. In fact, four of their five opponents have scored at least 28 points. BC comes in having averaged 35 points per game during their current three-game win streak. By the way, Geory Simon has played in 96 straight games...I would be surprised if he sits this important battle out due to a hamstring pull. I also don't like the matchups for Edmonton's offense in this one. Ricky Ray is a good quarterback, but he hasn't faced a ball-hawking defense like this BC unit all season. The Lions are tops in the league with a dozen interceptions in just five games. While Barron Miles (4 INTs) may be the best free safety in the CFL, it all starts with the relentless pressure the defensive front puts on opposing QBs. The Lions defensive line has recorded 15 sacks, or three per game so far this season...not to mention countless hurries. Finally, injuries have really taken a toll on the Esks over the last few weeks, including DE Fred Perry (9-game DL) who will be sorely missed against this talented BC offense. I believe BC will win this one by double-digits, giving us plenty of value with the short number. The BC Lions are my Thursday night CFL release. Thanks! GL! Scott. C.M.C.S.M.D.