Sports handicapping Forum - Sports Betting Forum - View Single Post

big joe · 05-26-2006, 11:34 AM

The following systems reflect the "power" of identifying MLB dogs and contrarian plays that win. That is how you make money consistently in MLB..

(Sent to me From a Friend)...

The league is 161-185 as a road dog after a one run win for profit of 37.75 units

The league is 251-208 as a .380 or less home team, off winning 2 of their last 3 games for a profit of 80.7 units.

Home underdogs of +100 > who's bullpen averages more than 3.2 innings per game on the season and their offense averages 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 99-82 for a profit of 51.2 units.

Road underdogs of +100 > off a one run win against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 111-98 for a profit of 56.8 units.

Underdogs of +125 to +175 that have made one or less errors over their 10 games and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 130-115 for a profit of 72.5 units.

Home teams off 2 straight home losses vs. a division rivals and starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 148-105 for a profit of 63.1 units.

Favourites of -175 to -250 and starting a pitcher who allowed 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings versus an opponent with a starting pitcher with a 7.00 > ERA over his last 3 starts are 83-92 for a profit 65.3 units when playing against. This system clearly reflects the "unpredictability" and the advantage in playing the "contrarian" plays.

And here's some for you "totals" guys.

Play OVER when the total is 9 or 9.5 runs with teams whose bullpen's ERA is 5.00 > on the season versus opponent whose bullpen has blown 38% or more of their save opportunities. 245-157 OVER and a profit of 77.0 units.

Play UNDER the total of 10 > runs with teams who strike out 6 or less times/game on the season and are off a combined score of 15 runs or more 2 straight games. 117-64 UNDER and a profit of 49.7 units.

Play UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 runs with road teams who turn 0.8 or less DP's/game on the season versus an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. 188-63 UNDER and a profit of 114.1 units.

05-26-2006, 11:34 AM	#1 (permalink)
big joe Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1,517	Baseball Systems!!! The following systems reflect the "power" of identifying MLB dogs and contrarian plays that win. That is how you make money consistently in MLB.. (Sent to me From a Friend)... The league is 161-185 as a road dog after a one run win for profit of 37.75 units The league is 251-208 as a .380 or less home team, off winning 2 of their last 3 games for a profit of 80.7 units. Home underdogs of +100 > who's bullpen averages more than 3.2 innings per game on the season and their offense averages 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 99-82 for a profit of 51.2 units. Road underdogs of +100 > off a one run win against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 111-98 for a profit of 56.8 units. Underdogs of +125 to +175 that have made one or less errors over their 10 games and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 130-115 for a profit of 72.5 units. Home teams off 2 straight home losses vs. a division rivals and starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 148-105 for a profit of 63.1 units. Favourites of -175 to -250 and starting a pitcher who allowed 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings versus an opponent with a starting pitcher with a 7.00 > ERA over his last 3 starts are 83-92 for a profit 65.3 units when playing against. This system clearly reflects the "unpredictability" and the advantage in playing the "contrarian" plays. And here's some for you "totals" guys. Play OVER when the total is 9 or 9.5 runs with teams whose bullpen's ERA is 5.00 > on the season versus opponent whose bullpen has blown 38% or more of their save opportunities. 245-157 OVER and a profit of 77.0 units. Play UNDER the total of 10 > runs with teams who strike out 6 or less times/game on the season and are off a combined score of 15 runs or more 2 straight games. 117-64 UNDER and a profit of 49.7 units. Play UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 runs with road teams who turn 0.8 or less DP's/game on the season versus an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. 188-63 UNDER and a profit of 114.1 units.