Sebastian's Actual Daily Picks - Page 2 - Sports handicapping Forum

savage1 · 10-24-2009, 08:36 PM

SMU is making a comeback-if they cover, it will turn a horrible day into "just" a bad day.
Actually I need this game, as it will make my day with Sebastian 2-1(with one unit plays lol).

ebro1278 · 10-24-2009, 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by savage1

SMU is making a comeback-if they cover, it will turn a horrible day into "just" a bad day.
Actually I need this game, as it will make my day with Sebastian 2-1(with one unit plays lol).

Don Best closed at 16, what did you get 16 1/2?

savage1 · 10-24-2009, 08:44 PM

It was 16 at Scores and Odds-it looks like Houston is getting ready to score again.
ps I played it at Bookmaker at 16.

ebro1278 · 10-24-2009, 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by savage1

It was 16 at Scores and Odds-it looks like Houston is getting ready to score again.
ps I played it at Bookmaker at 16.

Maybe you can get a back door

savage1 · 10-24-2009, 09:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ebro1278

Maybe you can get a back door

Nah-its over .Believe me for the tiny amount I played it for, it isn't going to make or break my day.
Wait until you do the figure for him tonight-it should be "quite" interesting.

ps they had a little shot at the end, but the QB got sacked twice, and a 4th and 15 pass went incomplete(pretty close to a catch, which would have given them a first down in Houston territory).

savage1 · 10-24-2009, 09:41 PM

Sebastian is going to need a Lifeline to help spin his way out of this horrific day on the comp. line and website tomorrow not to mention how much he and his customers(if he has any) lost;hopefully some out there faded and cleaned up.

savage1 · 10-24-2009, 10:10 PM

It looks like the NOT SO perfect 10 will go 3-7 today and also loser on the Steam Play.

savage1 · 10-24-2009, 11:11 PM

I would love to know the "reasoning" behind the 400 and 300 star plays today, ie assuming the "reason" isn't because he stole them from someone else, a very large assumption to say the least!

savage1 · 10-26-2009, 09:58 AM

Here are the picks for Sunday-just a bit late lol. I am sure you guys found them on main section thread.
Feel free to post the picks here if i forget to which was the case yesterday:

200* Pittsburgh (W) +200
100*Buffalo (W) +100
100* San Fran (Push)
100*Miami (L) (110)
50* Indy (W) +50
50* under Jets (L) (55)
50*Teaser NE-under NO/Miami (L) (55)
30* Dallas (W) +30

savage1 · 10-26-2009, 10:16 PM

rats-forgot again:

100* Steam Philadelphia
20* Philly/Wash under

savage1 · 10-27-2009, 05:05 PM

30* East Carolina
I remembered to post for a change, not that anyone is going to ask their Local to up their limit because SeaScum picked East Carolina.

ebro1278 · 10-28-2009, 08:13 PM

Originally Posted by italianprince
anything on seabass man

MLB 20 Philadelphia Phillies (Series) 100 Game Under (Game 1)
NHL 50 Calgary Flames NBA (STEAM) Memphis Grizzlies

savage1 · 10-28-2009, 08:57 PM

Thanks Ebro-I was tied up tonight.

savage1 · 10-29-2009, 04:26 PM

Sorry Sebastian we know that you want your plays as much a secret as are Phil Steele's 5*s(lol), but sorry, can't oblige:

seabass

MLB 50* over 9

Seabass football

30* under UNC/Va Tech

savage1 · 10-30-2009, 04:33 PM

100 Steam SFla
50 WVa/SFla under
100 CFL Edm under

savage1 · 10-30-2009, 04:48 PM

Obviously if any one has his "red hot" NBA and hockey plays, feel free to post them here and in main service section.

savage1 · 10-31-2009, 09:32 AM

200* SanDiego St, Miss
100* Rutgers,USC Under, So.Carolina,Kansas
50*Nebraska , Geo.Tech,Cent.Mich
30*Fla.Atlantic,Houston

savage1 · 10-31-2009, 09:45 AM

SEABASS

100* NYY/Phillies Over

savage1 · 10-31-2009, 06:02 PM

So far it is far from a lights out day for SeaSCUM-he needs the games going on tonight bad to have a positive day.
He may need some "After the Games Go Final" NBA picks to help the day.

savage1 · 10-31-2009, 08:54 PM

Its shaping up as another train wreck which won't be that far away from last Saturday's disaster.

savage1 · 11-01-2009, 08:09 AM

This is what I posted at the Seabass Scam thread:
You knew it would happen-the first 500 star.
Of course, it comes after a bad LOSING day and thus has no significance other than the fact he is taking a desperation shot to try to get some attention and get back some customers-needless to say, win or loss, this is totally irresponsible money management.
This is the kind of thing all true scamdicappers do-he did it several times during the summer-for example,there was a Sunday on which he released THREE 300 star totals in baseball after a losing day on Saturday.
Congratulations to Sebastian-if there was any doubt as to who deserves the #1 scamdicapper award, there is none now.
Of course, there is ZERO mention of yesterday's disaster on the website.

savage1 · 11-01-2009, 09:12 AM

I have no idea what the 500* pick, but knowing the way he thinks, I will take an educated guess and say it will be on Green Bay.
Scratch the predicition-his fellow scamdicapper buddy Budin is on Minnesota-Sebastian will either pick Minny or stay away from the game-I doubt he will pick GB(LOSER Lang also has GB-enuf said).
I will change predicition to Dallas or possibly Indy.

savage1 · 11-01-2009, 10:04 AM

From another forum:

500* carolina
300* baltimore
100* buff
100* under jets
50* tease over buff/under dall

steam rams

mlb 50* philly +1.5 runs

Armani · 11-01-2009, 10:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by savage1

From another forum:

500* carolina
300* baltimore
100* buff
100* under jets
50* tease over buff/under dall

steam rams

mlb 50* philly +1.5 runs

1210 units risked

savage1 · 11-01-2009, 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Armani

1210 units risked

At this point he doesn't care-if there was ever an example of a capper playing with Monopoly Money, it is Sebastian.
Like you said in the other thread, it is just a matter of time before you see a 1000 unit play.
His handicapping career is in serious jeopardy and he knows it-this is the way he deals with it, namely by hoping that by throwing out some big plays with monopoly money, he can get lucky and get some attention and customers.
I guess when you are down almost one million, two hundred thousand dollars as he is, he has to to do something.

savage1 · 11-01-2009, 01:25 PM

At this point anyways, it looks like Carolina will make or break his day.
Baltimore looks good, UNDER Miami a LOSER and Buffalo not looking good at the moment.

savage1 · 11-02-2009, 12:55 PM

100* Phillies

One of Sebastian's biggest shortcomings is that he puts way too much emphasis on emotion in making his selections.
Don't get me wrong-emotion and a team's mental state is very important in how it will play in a give game.
The problem is that although Sebastian THINKS he knows if a team will be up or down, ready or not ready to play, etc. based on a host of factors, the fact of the matter is that it is only a guess on his part.
For example, a couple of big wins in a row doesn't always mean that the team will be drained emotionally for its next game especially if it is against a lesser important-conversely,many teams will be even more charged up and feeling extremely confident and will annihilate its next opponent.
In all fairness there are other cappers who TRY to analyze emotion and who also fail as much as they succeed-it is a 50% proposition at best and should be considered accordingly when analyzing a game.

savage1 · 11-02-2009, 05:08 PM

30* Falcons

savage1 · 11-03-2009, 04:18 PM

NBA

50* Philly
50* LAL
100* "steam"- Denver

NCAAF

100* BG/Buff under (he has it at 54)

savage1 · 11-03-2009, 07:13 PM

Sebastian continues to show his hatred toward Boston teams by almost always betting against them even when they are hot, as is the case with the Celtics tonight-check the final score and then tell me Philadelphia should be a 50 star play(they are down "only" by 33 as I write this with 5 minutes to play lol).

savage1 · 11-04-2009, 03:00 PM

MLB
30* ov
50* Phillies

savage1 · 11-04-2009, 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ebro1278

Originally Posted by italianprince
anything on seabass man

MLB 20 Philadelphia Phillies (Series) 100 Game Under (Game 1)
NHL 50 Calgary Flames NBA (STEAM) Memphis Grizzlies

What a dick Sebastian is-he has a 20 star play on the Phillies for the series with a chance to get it back by betting on the Yankees tonight at HOME, and instead " "Mr. Money Management" makes an even bigger 50 star play on the Phillies-talk about double jeopardy-this guy needs to take a refresher course in gambling 101.
ps even if Philadelphia pulls off a miraculous rally and wins, there is no way, no how any responsible capper should be making a bigger bet on the same side as he has for the series when the Yankees have a good chance to close it out at home tonight.

savage1 · 11-05-2009, 05:00 PM

200 V tech over,
50 eastern mich over,
50 Miami Ohio

savage1 · 11-05-2009, 05:17 PM

The guy who can't pick his nose with UNDERS is trying a few OVERS tonight(perhaps with the help of his "Uncle Ben")-congratulations to Sebastian for realizing that sometimes OVERS may be worth playing also. lol
ps Perhaps the reason for the change in thinking is that he forgot to take his glutathione today.

Perhaps someone should do an independent study on the effects of taking glutathione over time on one's handicapping abilities.

savage1 · 11-05-2009, 06:12 PM

seabass

Also has:

100* Utah Jazz Under
Chicago Bulls

savage1 · 11-06-2009, 02:35 PM

NCAAF: 20* under boise 51 (small)

Steam: Charlotte Bob cats

NBA: 50* Minnesota
50* Portland

NHL: 50* Dallas

savage1 · 11-07-2009, 09:16 AM

100* Wisconsin (noon start)

savage1 · 11-07-2009, 09:32 AM

Seabass complete football card

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

30 Duke, colorado St
50 Alabama, Ohio st, Northwestern over
100 smu, missouri, Wisconsin
200 Fla St, Memphis
400 nebraska

savage1 · 11-07-2009, 10:34 PM

Its shaping up as a 3-8 day-haven't done the math yet, but obviously his monopoly money 400 star winner will make it just another bad day money wise rather than a truly horrible day.

savage1 · 11-08-2009, 08:41 AM

300 Dallas
200 Houston
100 Tennessee
50 New England
50 Giants
50 Det Sea Under

50 7pt tease AZ+10 and Under51.5

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10-24-2009, 08:36 PM	#41 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	SMU is making a comeback-if they cover, it will turn a horrible day into "just" a bad day. Actually I need this game, as it will make my day with Sebastian 2-1(with one unit plays lol).

10-24-2009, 08:44 PM	#43 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	It was 16 at Scores and Odds-it looks like Houston is getting ready to score again. ps I played it at Bookmaker at 16.

10-24-2009, 09:41 PM	#46 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Sebastian is going to need a Lifeline to help spin his way out of this horrific day on the comp. line and website tomorrow not to mention how much he and his customers(if he has any) lost;hopefully some out there faded and cleaned up.

10-24-2009, 10:10 PM	#47 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	It looks like the NOT SO perfect 10 will go 3-7 today and also loser on the Steam Play.

10-24-2009, 11:11 PM	#48 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	I would love to know the "reasoning" behind the 400 and 300 star plays today, ie assuming the "reason" isn't because he stole them from someone else, a very large assumption to say the least!

10-26-2009, 09:58 AM	#49 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Here are the picks for Sunday-just a bit late lol. I am sure you guys found them on main section thread. Feel free to post the picks here if i forget to which was the case yesterday: 200* Pittsburgh (W) +200 100Buffalo (W) +100 100 San Fran (Push) 100Miami (L) (110) 50 Indy (W) +50 50* under Jets (L) (55) 50Teaser NE-under NO/Miami (L) (55) 30 Dallas (W) +30

10-26-2009, 10:16 PM	#50 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	rats-forgot again: 100* Steam Philadelphia 20* Philly/Wash under

10-27-2009, 05:05 PM	#51 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	30* East Carolina I remembered to post for a change, not that anyone is going to ask their Local to up their limit because SeaScum picked East Carolina.

10-28-2009, 08:13 PM	#52 (permalink)
ebro1278 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1,115	Originally Posted by italianprince anything on seabass man MLB 20 Philadelphia Phillies (Series) 100 Game Under (Game 1) NHL 50 Calgary Flames NBA (STEAM) Memphis Grizzlies

10-28-2009, 08:57 PM	#53 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Thanks Ebro-I was tied up tonight.

10-29-2009, 04:26 PM	#54 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Sorry Sebastian we know that you want your plays as much a secret as are Phil Steele's 5s(lol), but sorry, can't oblige: seabass MLB 50 over 9 Seabass football 30* under UNC/Va Tech

10-30-2009, 04:33 PM	#55 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	100 Steam SFla 50 WVa/SFla under 100 CFL Edm under

10-30-2009, 04:48 PM	#56 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Obviously if any one has his "red hot" NBA and hockey plays, feel free to post them here and in main service section.

10-31-2009, 09:32 AM	#57 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	200* SanDiego St, Miss 100* Rutgers,USC Under, So.Carolina,Kansas 50Nebraska , Geo.Tech,Cent.Mich 30Fla.Atlantic,Houston

10-31-2009, 09:45 AM	#58 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	SEABASS 100* NYY/Phillies Over

10-31-2009, 06:02 PM	#59 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	So far it is far from a lights out day for SeaSCUM-he needs the games going on tonight bad to have a positive day. He may need some "After the Games Go Final" NBA picks to help the day.

10-31-2009, 08:54 PM	#60 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Its shaping up as another train wreck which won't be that far away from last Saturday's disaster.

11-01-2009, 08:09 AM	#61 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	This is what I posted at the Seabass Scam thread: You knew it would happen-the first 500 star. Of course, it comes after a bad LOSING day and thus has no significance other than the fact he is taking a desperation shot to try to get some attention and get back some customers-needless to say, win or loss, this is totally irresponsible money management. This is the kind of thing all true scamdicappers do-he did it several times during the summer-for example,there was a Sunday on which he released THREE 300 star totals in baseball after a losing day on Saturday. Congratulations to Sebastian-if there was any doubt as to who deserves the #1 scamdicapper award, there is none now. Of course, there is ZERO mention of yesterday's disaster on the website.

11-01-2009, 09:12 AM	#62 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	I have no idea what the 500* pick, but knowing the way he thinks, I will take an educated guess and say it will be on Green Bay. Scratch the predicition-his fellow scamdicapper buddy Budin is on Minnesota-Sebastian will either pick Minny or stay away from the game-I doubt he will pick GB(LOSER Lang also has GB-enuf said). I will change predicition to Dallas or possibly Indy.

11-01-2009, 10:04 AM	#63 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	From another forum: 500* carolina 300* baltimore 100* buff 100* under jets 50* tease over buff/under dall steam rams mlb 50* philly +1.5 runs

11-01-2009, 01:25 PM	#66 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	At this point anyways, it looks like Carolina will make or break his day. Baltimore looks good, UNDER Miami a LOSER and Buffalo not looking good at the moment.

11-02-2009, 12:55 PM	#67 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	100* Phillies One of Sebastian's biggest shortcomings is that he puts way too much emphasis on emotion in making his selections. Don't get me wrong-emotion and a team's mental state is very important in how it will play in a give game. The problem is that although Sebastian THINKS he knows if a team will be up or down, ready or not ready to play, etc. based on a host of factors, the fact of the matter is that it is only a guess on his part. For example, a couple of big wins in a row doesn't always mean that the team will be drained emotionally for its next game especially if it is against a lesser important-conversely,many teams will be even more charged up and feeling extremely confident and will annihilate its next opponent. In all fairness there are other cappers who TRY to analyze emotion and who also fail as much as they succeed-it is a 50% proposition at best and should be considered accordingly when analyzing a game.

11-02-2009, 05:08 PM	#68 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	30* Falcons

11-03-2009, 04:18 PM	#69 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	NBA 50* Philly 50* LAL 100* "steam"- Denver NCAAF 100* BG/Buff under (he has it at 54)

11-03-2009, 07:13 PM	#70 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	Sebastian continues to show his hatred toward Boston teams by almost always betting against them even when they are hot, as is the case with the Celtics tonight-check the final score and then tell me Philadelphia should be a 50 star play(they are down "only" by 33 as I write this with 5 minutes to play lol).

11-04-2009, 03:00 PM	#71 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	MLB 30* ov 50* Phillies

11-05-2009, 05:00 PM	#73 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	200 V tech over, 50 eastern mich over, 50 Miami Ohio

11-05-2009, 05:17 PM	#74 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	The guy who can't pick his nose with UNDERS is trying a few OVERS tonight(perhaps with the help of his "Uncle Ben")-congratulations to Sebastian for realizing that sometimes OVERS may be worth playing also. lol ps Perhaps the reason for the change in thinking is that he forgot to take his glutathione today. Perhaps someone should do an independent study on the effects of taking glutathione over time on one's handicapping abilities.

11-05-2009, 06:12 PM	#75 (permalink)
savage1 Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 12,940	seabass Also has: 100* Utah Jazz Under Chicago Bulls