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Old 09-05-2005, 01:02 PM   #1 (permalink)
big joe
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Default Monday MLB Hot/Cold + Trends Report 9/5

Hot pitchers
-- Trachsel threw eight shutout innings in first '05 start.
-- Cubs are 3-1 in last four Prior starts (2-1, 4.01).
-- Pettitte is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts.
-- Phillies are 13-3 in Myers' last sixteen starts.
-- Claussen is 5-1, 3.22 in his last seven starts.
-- Lowe allowed two runs in his last 17 innings pitched.

-- Tigers won five of last six Maroth starts.
-- Chen is 4-2, 2.50 in his last six starts.
-- Loe is 2-0, 1.64 in two starts. Silva is 2-0, 3.25 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 3-2, 1.19 in his last eight starts. Hernandez is 2-2, 2.05 in his six major league starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 7.36 in his last five starts. Vargas is 1-1, 10.12 in his last two starts.
-- Thomson is 1-2, 8.85 in his last four starts.
-- Morris has 6.35 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Ohka is 1-2, 7.36 in his last four starts.
-- Hennessey is 0-3, 6.41 in his last five starts.


-- White Sox scored 33 runs in winning McCarthy's last five starts. Schilling is 1-3, 8.68 in five starts this season.
-- Elarton is 0-2, 9.67 in his last five starts.
-- Gaudin is 1-2, 12.19 in three starts this season.


Totals
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last dozen Florida games.
-- Last four Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Cub road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Myers starts.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Claussen starts, 9-4 in last 13 Ohka starts.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Giant road games.

-- Over is 15-2-1 in last 18 games at Fenway.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Elarton starts.
-- Last five Chen starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Minnesota games.
-- Under is 6-3 in Blanton's last nine starts.


Hot teams
-- Marlins won three of last four road games.
-- Braves won six of last nine games.
-- Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
-- Cubs are 6-2 in last eight road games.
-- Brewers are 8-4 in last dozen road games.
-- Giants allowed 15 runs in winning last five games.

-- Red Sox are 21-2 in last 23 games at Fenway Park. White Sox allowed six runs in winning last four games.
-- Twins are 8-5 in their last thirteen home games. Texas won seven of its last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals are 8-16 in their last twenty-four home tilts.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten road games. Phillies lost first game in nine of last eleven home series.
-- Reds lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost 29 runs in losing last three games.


-- Indians lost three of their last four games. Tigers lost last four games, scoring total of six runs.
-- Orioles lost seven of last eight home games. Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- A's are 2-8 in their last ten home games. Seattle lost ten of its last sixteen games.
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Old 09-05-2005, 01:02 PM   #2 (permalink)
big joe
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Default

National League:

Florida at Washington, 1:05 EST
Jason Vargas (L) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)

Vargas - Florida 7-15 away after scoring 2 runs or less
Hernandez - Washington 22-8 at home with a line of +125 to -125

New York Mets at Atlanta, 1:05 EST ESPN
Steve Trachsel (R) vs. John Thomson (R)

Trachsel - Mets 5-19 away off a win by 4+ runs
Thomson - Atlanta 12-2 revenging a road loss by 6+ runs

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis, 2:15 EST WGN
Mark Prior (R) vs. Matt Morris (R)

Prior - Cubs 7-16 vs. Matt Morris
Morris - St. Louis 40-18 vs. division opponents

Houston at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Pettitte - 2-11 TSR away with a line of +125 to -125
Myers - 11-4 TSR in home games this year

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Tomokazu Ohka (R) vs. Brandon Claussen (L)

Ohka - 11-2 Over as an underdog
Claussen - 4-17 TSR vs. division opponents

San Francisco at Los Angeles Dodgers, 8:10 EST ESPN
Brad Hennessey (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)

Hennessey - San Francisco 18-6 away in September
Lowe - Dodgers 1-9 at home off BB division road losses


American League:

Cleveland at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Scott Elarton (R) vs. Mike Maroth (L)

Elarton - Cleveland 12-4 away revenging a one-run loss
Maroth - Detroit 8-30 at home after losing 8+ of their last 10 games

Toronto at Baltimore, 1:35 EST
Gustavo Chacin (L) vs. Bruce Chen (L)

Chacin - Toronto 18-6 off BB one-run losses
Che - 0-7 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 runs last start

(TC) Texas at Minnesota, 4:05 EST ESPN
Kameron Loe (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)

Loe - Texas 16-30 off 3+ road games
Silva - 17-8 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

Seattle at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Joe Blanton (R)

Hernandez - Seattle 11-27 as a road underdog of +150 or less
Blanton - Oakland 30-17 in day games


Write-In Game:

(TC) Chicago White Sox at Boston, 12:05 EST ESPN
Brandon McCarthy (R) vs. Curt Schilling (R)

McCarthy - White Sox 24-8 off 3+ division games
Schilling - 1-2 TSR, 8.50 ERA last three starts
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