Pre-Season NFL - Sports handicapping Forum

xRAOLIBx · 07-28-2007, 08:15 AM

Just wondering if people think playing preseason NFL is good or bad idea??

Thanks!

slim81 · 07-28-2007, 08:56 AM

You have to be very selective. I think the key to handicapping NFLX if you must is to read the local newspapers and find out who is trying to accomplish what. Teams with new head coaches are typically good bets because the new coach wants to win from the beginning. Established teams aren't as interested in winning as they are just getting people into game shape. It's not something I delve into very often but it can be profitable if you study and find out what the agenda is for certain teams. Unders are usually a good bet in the early stages of pre-season. If you are betting baseball and doing well, I would say stick with it because the baseball lines tend to suffer (get softer) because the oddsmakers are spending so much time on NFLX lines, regular season lines and working on college football lines. Since baseball is not a heavily bet on sport when August rolls around, the public doesn't affect the lines. GL in whatever you choose to do.

golden contender · 07-28-2007, 06:15 PM

slim, that bases line softening is to a misconception, these guys are so sharp there well versed on where the lines should be, the only tome i would think the line on late bases could be off is when late sept comes with some of the eliminated teams with triple a pitchers, and thats more the total then the actual line. as far as preseason you must pick your spots, and not fall into the i cant wait for football any kind of football mindset, bol gc-

ironmike67 · 07-31-2007, 02:10 PM

I cannot wait...only a few days away til preseason!!! SUNDAY AUG. 5th BABY!

vinny vegas · 08-03-2007, 06:07 AM

Be careful...seeing lots of posts on taking UNDERS in NFL PRE...play em small if you do any...GL

ironmike67 · 08-03-2007, 06:40 PM

Thanks for the advice VinnyVegas! You're probably right!

weendogg · 08-04-2007, 04:22 PM

I'd stick to small wagers. These games mean nothing except to maybe a few new head coaches that want to win right out of the gate.

I'm new to this site and I just want to say this is an incredible site and I like what I see!! Keep up the fantastic work everyone!!

sinister · 08-04-2007, 09:29 PM

yea, play small just to build your account. with that being said, i m thinking about taking the steelers. new coach want to prove something as first game. saints has nothing to prove as they did well last year.

staxx · 08-06-2007, 09:04 AM

I prefer the unders in games where the line is 35 and above as most teams tend to not score as much in the 2nd half with all their main starters out. Yesterdays game with Pitt/N.O was the prime example of that as they score 17 in the first half and only 10 in the second. The first week of pre-season is the main week to take the unders after that you have to pick and choose.

par5onin2 · 08-06-2007, 10:54 PM

Something that has worked for me in pre-season is to look for a line movement of 1.5 points or more (sides) then bet the opposite of the movement. Usually get 5-8 plays per preseason and usually hits about 60%.

07-28-2007, 08:15 AM	#1 (permalink)
xRAOLIBx Rookie Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 27	Pre-Season NFL Just wondering if people think playing preseason NFL is good or bad idea?? Thanks!

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07-28-2007, 08:56 AM	#2 (permalink)
slim81 Banned Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 58	You have to be very selective. I think the key to handicapping NFLX if you must is to read the local newspapers and find out who is trying to accomplish what. Teams with new head coaches are typically good bets because the new coach wants to win from the beginning. Established teams aren't as interested in winning as they are just getting people into game shape. It's not something I delve into very often but it can be profitable if you study and find out what the agenda is for certain teams. Unders are usually a good bet in the early stages of pre-season. If you are betting baseball and doing well, I would say stick with it because the baseball lines tend to suffer (get softer) because the oddsmakers are spending so much time on NFLX lines, regular season lines and working on college football lines. Since baseball is not a heavily bet on sport when August rolls around, the public doesn't affect the lines. GL in whatever you choose to do.

07-28-2007, 06:15 PM	#3 (permalink)
golden contender Degenerate Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1,272	slim, that bases line softening is to a misconception, these guys are so sharp there well versed on where the lines should be, the only tome i would think the line on late bases could be off is when late sept comes with some of the eliminated teams with triple a pitchers, and thats more the total then the actual line. as far as preseason you must pick your spots, and not fall into the i cant wait for football any kind of football mindset, bol gc-

07-31-2007, 02:10 PM	#4 (permalink)
ironmike67 Rookie Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 54	I cannot wait...only a few days away til preseason!!! SUNDAY AUG. 5th BABY!

08-03-2007, 06:07 AM	#5 (permalink)
vinny vegas Rookie Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 48	Be careful...seeing lots of posts on taking UNDERS in NFL PRE...play em small if you do any...GL

08-03-2007, 06:40 PM	#6 (permalink)
ironmike67 Rookie Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 54	Thanks for the advice VinnyVegas! You're probably right!

08-04-2007, 04:22 PM	#7 (permalink)
weendogg Rookie Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 79	I'd stick to small wagers. These games mean nothing except to maybe a few new head coaches that want to win right out of the gate. I'm new to this site and I just want to say this is an incredible site and I like what I see!! Keep up the fantastic work everyone!!

08-04-2007, 09:29 PM	#8 (permalink)
sinister Rookie Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 40	yea, play small just to build your account. with that being said, i m thinking about taking the steelers. new coach want to prove something as first game. saints has nothing to prove as they did well last year.

08-06-2007, 09:04 AM	#9 (permalink)
staxx Banned Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 6	I prefer the unders in games where the line is 35 and above as most teams tend to not score as much in the 2nd half with all their main starters out. Yesterdays game with Pitt/N.O was the prime example of that as they score 17 in the first half and only 10 in the second. The first week of pre-season is the main week to take the unders after that you have to pick and choose.

08-06-2007, 10:54 PM	#10 (permalink)
par5onin2 Wise Guy Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 59	Something that has worked for me in pre-season is to look for a line movement of 1.5 points or more (sides) then bet the opposite of the movement. Usually get 5-8 plays per preseason and usually hits about 60%.