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#1 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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since 1990- the team who out rushes there opponent has coverd the spread at an 80% clip- so what im gonna look for is teams in close games at the half who are outrushing there opponents by a good margin, and try to see if i can catch a good line on those teams with the idea that they will continue to run the ball succsefully in the second half as well- bol gc-
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#4 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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ill take a sho here with ucla+3 - there outrushing byu by 94 yards- and are covering at the half- i cant see them losing the rush yards- so assuming 80% of the teams that win the rush yards cover- and with the spread still really up in the air im going in for 2 units on ucla second half- bol gc-
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#7 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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Looking At The Texas- Azonast Game- Texas Is Winning The Rushing Pretty Easily- But The Spread Is Not In Doubt- If This Game Were Tied Id Be On Texas Like White On Rice- But Up 18 Ill Just Hope They Get The Cover- Bol Gc-
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#9 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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i have 3 units on tex-am - but the spread is still in doubt and pennst has a huge rushing advantage and all the momentum- if ever there was a time to buy something back- this is it- but ill lay off and just hope am- can cover- bol gc-
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#10 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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im on ok tonight- so im not gonna take wv in the second half -6- but they do have the rushing edge- if this game were close id take wv- but the over 27.5 looks good- ok will throw the second half but probably still not stop wv offense.
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#11 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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this is an excellent game for a half wager- a good indicator is if lsu is scoring or not- they are 1-15-1 ats if they do not score 28 or more- ohiost has given up 28 once the whole year- lets see howthis and the rush yards wind up-bol gc-
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#12 (permalink) |
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Degenerate
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,052
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well lsu will have no problem scoring- and im starting to think ohiost will be in that 20% of teams that win the rush battle but dont cover- the yardage for the game is close-lsu one of there scoring drives was a short field on the turnover the other td drive was aided by a ton of penalties- that said they are moving the ball at will ag ohiost defense, and ohiost doesnt fir the profile of a comeback team- at pick-130 and 24 as the total i like the over here- lsu can score and ohiost id say will now have to start throwing- over 24 for a unit bol gc-
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