xlilweezeex

Last week's play was a nice as the Lobos won ouright as dogs. As for Week 5, we have a juicy thursday night matchup between Da Cougars vs. Da Horny-Frogs. While some are thinking BYU will get revenge for last year's thriller-loss, keep an eye on TCU's underated pass defense to contain if not stop BYU's vaunted air attack. TCU is accustomed to playing these "pass happy" teams as they have won 7 out of the last seven in games they were outyarded thru the air. Six of those games were lined and they covered four. On the other hand, the last four times that BYU has been outyarded on the ground, they have lost all four times by an average of 7 points although they covered in two of those games. It's not likely that BYU will win the rushing matchup because TCU statistically holds that edge defensively and offensively. Well, that's about enough matchup analysis for me. Now here's the angle that supports this play:

Play on teams that have won their two most recent games at home and are now at home again in a Thursday night matchup. The record for this angle is 18-3 ATS. This situation has actually came up twice this year with W.V. covering against Maryland and G.T. with a push against Virginia. It also applies to the Auburn/SC matchup but i won't make S.C. an offical play b/c Auburn is just one of those teams you do not fade, not yet anyways. So this week's officail play for:

NCAAF Week 5 is
Play ON: TCU Horny-Frogs -5.5